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Table 3 AIC value for each statistical model at different time of the day

From: Novel approaches to the energy load unbalance forecasting in the Italian electricity market

Hour

ES

ARIMA

ARMA-GARCH

ARMAX-GARCH

h:3:00

2,080.565

1,836.58

15.418

15.405

h:10:00

2,171.46

1,914.24

16.147

16.417

h:18:00

2,219.794

1,955.092

16.486

16.462

h:22:00

2,466.305

1,917.174

15.833

15.837