Figure 8

Scenarios (1, 2, 3). Comparison between three different relaxations on containment measures and the true ones. Scenario 1, labeled ‘No actions’, considers the evolution of the pandemic without any government intervention. Scenario 2, labeled ‘No closures’, takes into account testing and contact tracing, but no further restrictions (e.g. lockdown or workplace closing). Scenario 3, labeled ‘No testing or tracing’, is a complement setting of Scenario 2, with restrictions on movement but no contact tracing or testing in place. Vaccination campaign proceeds as in the data for the latter two settings. We present cumulative cases, hospitalized and deceased for both GBR (on the left) and ISR (on the right)